Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if anyone know the tricks the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make income. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a ideal case in point. I analyzed often the West Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West Virginia had the edge in the game. Nonetheless We also came to the realization that there initially were a good deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on this game. Here is my personal analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This game provides all the symptoms of being one involving the best games of the year, having the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, together with Western Virginia coming back from staying down major in the final 1 / 4 to winning within overtime.
So what’s the sport search like this year?
If this game were as played in the fairly neutral field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented rotate. They haven’t lost due to the fact July. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. Inside the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 STREET games.
These are some very amazing stats that tilt this scales in favor regarding WVU to get tonight’s online. Plus, the included added bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like quite a bit, but in a near match-up like this, that more point will make the big difference between a push in addition to a loss.
But what about Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home video games.
Plus if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at home since December 16, 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points each game in your own home, while averaging only giving up 15. 8 points for every game at home. In case you did not do the figures, that means considering their own last home reduction they have already averaged beating his or her oppositions by way of about thirty four items per game.
In addition remarkable, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, by 13 things per game at home since 2003.
Wow… how can a person go against that?
Here’s precisely how…
Most of those stats have been built up during the 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They are yet to experienced recent games where they also have only scored 35, 3, 24 points. And www.worldfilmfair.com weren’t against Iowa Saint. or Michigan. These people have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
The end result is the fact that this is still the close sport to call up. Nevertheless what I look intended for is West Virginia’s security to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s virtually no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this particular game and not really bet at all. There usually are better games this weekend break with more clear-cut benefits.
The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to go back the punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big that they may possibly still win right after building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular match, people severe about sports betting saved money many people can put to better make use of on future games.